Latest draft projections allow Chicago Bears to pick much higher

Everyone is ecstatic that the Chicago Bears finally have a quarterback. Justin Fields has put in a tremendous amount of work over the past six weeks. His passer rating increased from 58 to 99. He has thrown just three interceptions compared to 10 touchdowns and has run for nearly 600 yards. Defense has no answers for him. Unfortunately, these borderline Superman efforts haven’t been enough to obscure how bad the rest of the roster is. The Bears were the first team to score at least 29 points in three straight games and lose all three in NFL history.

That should help explain how depleted this roster is. The defense can’t stop anyone. Even worse, the Bears just lost the top running back Khalil Herbert with a hip injury. So now the bread and butter of their transgression is weakened. To top it off, their schedule starts to take a turn for the worse after Sunday against the Atlanta Falcons. They have the Jets and Packers for bye week, then Philadelphia, Buffalo, Detroit and Minnesota to wrap things up. It’s no wonder new draft projections from The Athletic see the Bears pick higher than their current 6th overall spot.

“Mock projects the score for each game and the final winning percentage for each team using its NFL betting model. The model eliminates older data and uses data from this year as the season progresses. The simulation is then run 100,000 times after each game day to give us, in this case, our No. 1 pick odds and each team’s most likely draft landing spot.

6.Chicago (3-7)

Expected probability of securing #1 overall: 7.8%

Projected Choice: No. 2

Offense: Olu Fashanu, OT, Penn State

Defense: Tyree Wilson, edge, Texas Tech”

The Chicago Bears are in a rare territory when that happens.

The last time this team took the 2nd overall pick without needing a trade was way back in 1970. That was the year they lost the coin toss with Pittsburgh, costing them Terry Bradshaw. Fortunately, the organization doesn’t need a quarterback this time. Recent history says the Bears have a very good chance of landing a blue chip player in that spot if not a quarterback. Four of the last five #2 picks were Saquon Barkley, Nick Bosa, Chase Young and Aidan Hutchinson.

Ryan Poles and Matt Eberflus would be thrilled to end up with someone like that. It comes down to how the rest of the schedule plays out. The Chicago Bears face stiff competition for that spot. Eight other teams have only three wins this year. Las Vegas is ahead of them 2-7, while Houston is the heavy favorite to claim No. 1 overall at 1-7-1. It’s hard to win in the NFL, but people overlook just how hard it is to lose. The Bears might steal a game or two over the course of how Fields plays. It should be an exciting race to follow.

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